As Central Banks have the task of controlling the money supply and maintain economic stability, their decisions monetary policy directly influence currencies, because they decide on interest rates, which in turn influence the attraction of a currency for foreigner investors. Key interest rates will then be reflected in other interest rates charged by banks for loans student loans, car loans, commercial loans… , which will have an impact on the money spent by individuals and businesses.
Thus, higher interest rates will attract foreign investors, which will result in an increased demand for the currency of the country, and therefore a strengthening of the currency against other currencies. Also, higher interest rates will increase borrowing costs, and money availability on markets will diminish, and the value of a currency should then increase.
With an expansionary monetary policy, there is an increase in the monetary base and lower interest rates. With more cash available for banks and in the market, the value of various financial assets increases. So, this excess supply of funds will create a significant flow of a currency on markets, which will dilute the value of this currency. Another reason for you to be aware of the different key interest rates while investing on the FOREX market is because of currency carry trade that produces real cash flows. In conclusion, as a FOREX trader, you cannot invest on currencies without following Central Banks meetings and decisions that can affect the amount of money in a given economy.
More than just those decisions, you need to follow any news that can give you useful information about the health of a given economy or how close from its objectives their Central Bank is: mainly data about employment, consumption, growth and inflation. The Dollar Index had increased before this decision, as the market was expecting this rate hike.
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The Role of the Major Central Banks in the Forex Market
Sign me up! Leave a Reply Cancel reply Your email address will not be published. Almost there! Doing so generates a preferred long-term modification in the currency. Forex traders are recommended to be cautious while selecting stop losses and while submitting an order during central bank interventions. It is a golden rule in Forex trading never to trade against market intervention. Always try to be aware of the planned central bank intentions for market intervention, and plan your trading accordingly. Trading Point uses cookies to ensure that we provide you with the best experience while visiting our website.
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How Central Banks Impact the Forex Market
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Indirect Forex Intervention
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Read more or change your cookie settings. Visit XM. Central Bank Intervention Important: This page is part of archived content and may be outdated. The four forms of market intervention Although there are many forms of foreign exchange intervention, there are four which can be considered the most significant and frequent.
Central Bank Intervention with Fixed Exchange Rates
Size The enormity of an intervention coincides with the final move of a currency. Timing When grabbing a market player off guard with an intervention, it is more probable for them to be suddenly bundled with a huge inflow of orders. Momentum As a currency is moving in the aimed direction of the intervention, it is the most ideal, suitable time to apply intervention.
Sterilization This is the procedure of when central banks abide by monetary policies alongside Forex market performances. This website uses cookies. Your cookie settings. What are Cookies? Why are cookies useful? Change Settings What are Cookies?
- The four forms of market intervention;
- Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law, Volume 2.
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