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Is the Santa Claus Rally for Real and What Causes It?
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Beginner Level Beginner. Business Technology Management. Fundamentals of Computing. Positive Psychology. International Leadership and Organizational Behavior. Software Testing and Automation. As the name implies, a Santa rally is the term for when stock markets post positive results in the run up to Christmas and New Year. And from to , the FTSE has indeed made an average gain of 2.
Santa Claus gets the Lexus Flying Luxury Cruiser this Christmas to spread joy and cheer
Often, though, talk of a Santa rally focusses on US indices. Quite why this phenomenon should occur is unclear, and in truth there are probably several factors behind each individual rally. But a few of the major theories on why markets rally in December include:. However, the biggest cause of a Santa rally may well be the psychology of the markets themselves.
If indices post gains in December, people assume a Santa rally is on the cards and buy accordingly — leading to further gains.
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Interestingly, there is no agreement about when Santa rallies really start, with different sources offering conflicting answers. Does it last the whole of December, just the week before Christmas, or something in between? And we found that the biggest rises in both indices typically occur from 16 , 15 and 14 December. Overall, investing from these dates brought an average annual return of 2. In contrast, investing over the first half of the month yielded an average loss of Read more about this analysis. It might start early, it might start late, or it might not start at all.
You can only know for sure if a Santa rally has taken place once it is already over.
Santa rallies tend to have the most impact on major indices , so if you think one is about to start keep a close eye on markets like the FTSE , US , Wall Street and Germany Of course, if those indices are on the rise then their constituent companies will be on the rise too — so large cap stocks around the world can be a good place to look. Our market screener is a great way of finding stocks that suit your investment strategy.
Think a Santa rally is on the cards this year? Take a position with hour dealing on the FTSE Table: Average returns for any date combination in December, by start date The gains in the precious metal come alongside a surge in equity prices.
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Lack of any clear fundamentals remains one of the major risks against a pullback. The breached resistance level near will be the likely target to the downside. Establishing support here could keep the precious metal range bound within the said levels. Test your strategy on how gold will fare with Orbex - Open your account now.
John has over 8 years of experience specializing in the currency markets, tracking the macroeconomic and geopolitical developments shaping the financial markets.
- The extraordinary history of the Santa Claus Rally: Morning Brief.
- What You Need to Know About the Santa Rally - Orbex Forex Trading Blog?
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John applies a mix of fundamental and technical analysis and has a special interest in inter-market analysis and global politics. Market Rally Continues.
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